Newsweek, May 2026
Across Indiana, Ohio and Michigan, elections on Tuesday helped provide a temperature check before the 2026 midterm elections, with the results giving a clue to President Donald Trump’s influence on his party, and the Democrats’ momentum ahead of November. Americans tend to vote against the incumbent in the midterms, and recent polls and prediction markets have set a troubling scene for the president. Prediction markets show that Democrats are favored in several individual races necessary for their chances to reclaim control of the chamber. Meanwhile, multiple polls have shown Trump’s approval rating falling to record lows, as upset over the war in Iran and the state of the economy impacts voters across the board, and support for the president fractures in some of his key bases.
