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Trump and Harris make widely different claims on crime. Here’s what the data shows

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NBC Bay Area, October 2024

Crime is always a hot button issue in a presidential race. But with contradicting claims about crime rates from both sides, it can be difficult to discern whether crime rates are truly up or down. According to a Harvard-CAPS Harris Poll, crime is the number four most important issue for voters in the upcoming election.

Nationally, both President Joe Biden and Vice President Kamala Harris have been adamant that crime rates have declined under their administration. The White House released a statement last month saying violent crime is at a near 50-year low, according to new FBI data. But former President Donald Trump has pushed back against the Biden-Harris administration with claims that crime has risen since his time in office. In his September debate with Harris, Trump claimed “Crime here is up and through the roof.”

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