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The complexities of Turkey’s presidential election. A runoff is not the only surprise

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The runoff in Turkey’s presidential election is not really a surprise, a Northeastern expert says, but, for the opposition, the continued high support for the incumbent is. 

As inflation surged to 85.5% in 2022 and two-thirds of the population struggled to pay for food, Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s popularity significantly dipped in polls on the eve of the election. Yet, he won 49.5% of votes on May 14, surpassing the opposition alliance candidate, Kemal Kilicdaroglu, who earned 44.9%.

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